邢素丽,刘孟朝,彭青伟.我国小麦资源与综合生产能力研究[J].干旱地区农业研究,2006,(2):169~173
我国小麦资源与综合生产能力研究
A study of wheat resources and its integrated throughputs in China
  
DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2006.02.37
中文关键词:  小麦资源  综合生产能力  因子分析
英文关键词:wheat resource  integrated throughput  factor analysis
基金项目:国家科技攻关计划“粮食丰产科技工程”(2004BA520A13); PPI/PPIC项目资助
作者单位
邢素丽 河北省农林科学院农业资源环境研究所河北 石家庄 050051 
刘孟朝 河北省农林科学院农业资源环境研究所河北 石家庄 050051 
彭青伟 国家统计局河北调查总队河北 石家庄 050081 
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中文摘要:
      在分析我国小麦生产资源的基础上,采用因子载荷矩阵理论,通过构建因子分析模型,确定了影响小麦总产量的各因子及其影响权重。经研究认为,影响小麦产量的第一主因子为资源(科技)因子,主要是科技发展水平、农业资源等;第二主因子为投入(产出)因子,表现为价格、收益等;第三主因子为政策因子,包括政策虚拟变量、工农业商品比价;第四主因子为气候因子,主要为受灾比重的大部分信息。因而,要提高小麦综合生产能力,必须遵循“一靠政策,二靠科技,三靠投入”的原则。
英文摘要:
      Based on the analysis of wheat production resources in China,by using factor loading matrix theory,this paper builds the factor analysis models and ascertains the factors that influence the general output of wheat and their effect weight. It is discovered that the first factor impacting wheat output in all is resources factor,including science and technology development level,agricultural resources,etc.;the second factor is input and output factor,including price and revenue;the third factor is policy factor,including subjunctive policy variables and the price rate of industrial commodities to agricultural commodities;the fourth factor is climate factor,especially the disaster-suffered proportion.Therefore,to improve the integrated throughputs of wheat,it is necessary to follow the principia of "policy the first,science and technology the second and investment the third".
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