黄斌,郭江勇,张洪芬,张谋草,王位泰.陇东玉米拔节至抽雄期降水与产量及生物量的相关性分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,2007,(1):172~175
陇东玉米拔节至抽雄期降水与产量及生物量的相关性分析
The correlation of precipitation during jointing to heading with output and biological yield in East of Gansu Province
  
DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2007.01.36
中文关键词:  陇东  玉米  降水  产量  相关性
英文关键词:East of Gansu Province  maize  precipitation  output  correlation
基金项目:科技部科研院所社会公益研究专项“西北农作物对气候变化的响应及其评价方法”(2005DIB3J100)
作者单位
黄斌 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 745000庆阳市气象局,甘肃 西峰 745000 
郭江勇 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 745000庆阳市气象局,甘肃 西峰 745000 
张洪芬 庆阳市气象局,甘肃 西峰 745000 
张谋草 庆阳市气象局,甘肃 西峰 745000 
王位泰 庆阳市气象局,甘肃 西峰 745000 
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中文摘要:
      利用陇东黄土高原旱作玉米拔节至抽雄期降水量与产量及生物量资料,分析降水量与产量及生物量的相关性。结果表明:拔节至抽雄期降水量与产量相关系数达0.8304,通过0.001信度检验,达到极显著相关水平;对产量构成因素的影响,主要对果穗长、百粒重和果穗粗影响明显;对抽雄至成熟期鲜重和干物质重的影响基本为正效应,但相关性不显著,对穗的影响具有逐步增强趋势。降水量年型与产量年型完全对应年占总年份的50%,完全对应年和基本对应年占总年份的75%。降水最少的年份为1997年,为19.1 mm,玉米产量为137.2kg/667m2,最多年份为2005年,为185.3 mm,玉米产量为662.1 kg/667m2,并建立了利用降水预报产量的模型。
英文摘要:
      Based on the data of the precipitation during jointing to heading and the output and biological yield of maize on Loess Plateau in East of Gansu,the correlations of precipitation with output and biological yield were analyzed.The results showed that the correlation coefficient between the precipitation during jointing to heading and the output reached 0.8304,with 0.001 confidence degree reached very significant level.It affected the output components,mainly the spike length,the weight of 100-grais and the spike thick.The correlation of the precipitation with the fresh matter weight and dry matter weight during jointing to maturity is positive,but is not significant,and its effect on spike increased.The complete agreement of rainfall year type with output year type accounted for 50%.The complete and main agreement accounted for 75%.The year of least rainfall is 1997,the rainfall is 19.1 mm,and the maize output is 137.2 kg/667m2. The year of most rainfall is 2005,the rainfall is 185.3 mm,and the maize output is 662.1 kg/667m2. The output model forecasted using precipitation was set up.
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