Study on methodology for risk assessment and division of winter wheat drought hazard in Hebei Province
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2009.02.03
Key Words: Hebei Province  winter wheat  drought  risk division
Author NameAffiliation
ZHANG Wenzong Hebei Laboratory for Meteorology and Eco-EnvironmentShijiazhuang 050021ChinaMeteorological Science Institute of Hebei ProvinceShijiazhuang 050021China 
ZHAO Chunlei Hebei Laboratory for Meteorology and Eco-EnvironmentShijiazhuang 050021ChinaMeteorological Science Institute of Hebei ProvinceShijiazhuang 050021China 
KANG Xiyan Hebei Laboratory for Meteorology and Eco-EnvironmentShijiazhuang 050021ChinaMeteorological Science Institute of Hebei ProvinceShijiazhuang 050021China 
WANG Xin Hebei Laboratory for Meteorology and Eco-EnvironmentShijiazhuang 050021ChinaMeteorological Science Institute of Hebei ProvinceShijiazhuang 050021China 
LIU Jingmiao Hebei Laboratory for Meteorology and Eco-EnvironmentShijiazhuang 050021ChinaChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesBeijing 100081China 
ZHANG Chao College of Resource & Environment Hebei Normal UniversityShijiazhuang 050016,China 
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Abstract:
      Different levels of dry years was defined respectively by the ±0.5 times and ±1.5 times standard deviational sample variance of the mean values of annual precipitation and then winter wheat dry disaster year was confirmed by whether the meteorological equivalent yield reduction rate was greater than 3%.In addition analysis was made of the average winter wheat yield reduction rate in dry years and its spatial distribution in various areas of Hebei Province and study was also made on the frequency distribution law of the winter wheat drought hazard with different intensities.From point of view on risk analysis of disasters it presented a methodology for risk assessment and division of winter wheat drought hazard in Hebei Province including the concept calculation method and regional distribution of the disaster risk index.The average decreasing rate drought hazard risk indexes and annual precipitation were selected as factors dominating insurance of drought hazard based on which the winter wheat growing zone might be divided into three grades such as light moderate and severe under the support of GIS.The average decreasing rate the disaster prevention and mitigation measures of dry year with different intensities and loses were also dicussed in different kind of risk areas.