| Distribution character of extreme climatic events and evaluation of its influence on agriculture in Inner Mongolia |
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| DOI：10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2009.02.05 |
| Key Words: extreme climatic event distribution character influence evaluation |
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| Abstract: |
| Using data (1984～2006) of meteorological observation and area of affected crops for extreme climatic events, forecasting method like linear-trend analysis, regression analysis, Bayes classification and discrimination, and catastrophology theory, this paper analyses the developing rule of extreme climatic events related with temperature and precipitation.It shows that the extreme temperature and rainfall events and the loss they cause represent rising tendency in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.We make model for evaluating the drought impacts which is the worst-hit for crops and the disaster-caused loss.And the result from the model is the same as the fact in substance.It also predicts the optimal project and the economic benefits of planting. |
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