Analysis on structure and forecast of water consumption in Baoji City
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2013.06.041
Key Words: structure of water consumption  forecast of water consumption  BP model  Baoji City
Author NameAffiliation
LI Qin, MA Yao-guang* (西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院 陕西 杨凌 712100) 
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Abstract:
      Based on 1996—2011 water consumptions in Baoji City, the structure and trend of water comsuption has been analyzed in this paper, obtained five influencing factors through regression analysis, namely population, the first industrial added value, industrial added value, farmer’s net income per capita and net income of urban resident per capita. Taking the influencing factors as input layer, the a griculture, industrial and domestic water consumption as output layer, established the BP model and forecasted the water consumption of each industry from 2012 to 2020 in Baoji City. The results shown that: The water consumption of agriculture, industry and domestic life were 4.43, 0.57 and 1.31 hundred million m3, respectively. The effect of prediction was good with reliable accuracy.