Prediction research on the groundwater table in upstream, midstream and down stream of Hetao Irrigation District based on weighted Markov Chain Model
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2014.05.035
Key Words: water-saving rehabilitation  groundwater table  Markov Chain  prediction  Hetao Irrigation District
Author NameAffiliation
LI Bin1,2, SHI Hai-bin1, LI Zhen1, ZHANG Jian-guo3, ZHOU Jun4 (1.内蒙古农业大学 水利与土木建筑工程学院 内蒙古 呼和浩特 010018 2.内蒙古农牧业科学院 资源环境与检测技术研究所 内蒙古 呼和浩特 010031 3.巴彦淖尔市水利科学研究所内蒙古 临河 015000 4.内蒙古河套灌区解放闸管理局 内蒙古 杭锦后旗 015400) 
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Abstract:
      This paper taken expanding and deepening the regional prediction research on the groundwater table as the purpose, adopted the random theory to establish the groundwater table prediction model based on the weighted Markov Chain to predict the interval value of groundwater table in the upstream, midstream and downstream of Hetao Irrigation District, Inner Mongolia. The result showed that: After the water saving rehabilitation, the groundwater table in midstream of Irrigation District will be at the interval of 2.380 to 2.742 and the groundwater table in downstream will be at the interval of 2.218 to 2.506. These two interval values are total larger than the critical groundwater dept h of 2.0 m in Hetao Irrigation District, Inner Mongolia. So the salinization in middle and down stream of the Hetao Irrigation District will be expected to further alleviate in future. While the groundwater table in upstream will be at the interval of 1.227 to 1.727. These interval values are total less than 2.0 m which is the critical groundwater depth in the Hetao Irrigation District, Inner Mongolia. Therefore, the upstream of Hetao Irrigation District will be the key control region for groundwater table in future.