The reconstruction and trend study of Shaanxi province's drought and floods grade in recent 500 years
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2015.05.40
Key Words: drought and waterlogging grade  precipitation data  temporal and spatial distribution  trend study  Shaanxi province
Author NameAffiliation
YUAN Yuan 陕西省气象台 陕西 西安 710015 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心气象灾害教育部重点实验室 江苏 南京 210044 
HUANG Shao-ni 陕西省气象台 陕西 西安 710015 
GUO Chun-yan 内蒙古自治区气象服务中心内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051 
YANG Wen-feng 陕西省气象局 陕西 西安 710015 
SHEN Xin-yong 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心气象灾害教育部重点实验室 江苏 南京 210044 
DONG Jin-fang 陕西省农业遥感信息中心, 陕西 西安 710015 
JING Yu 陕西省气象台 陕西 西安 710015 
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Abstract:
      This article rebuilds the drought and floods grade of Shaanxi province's stations from 1470 to 2008, by using the historical documents and precipitation data. It analysis the basic features and evolution trend, and provides basis for forecast of drought and floods. There are five typical stations picked up that are Yulin, Yan'an,Xi'an, Hanzhong, Ankang. By analyzing 539 years drought and floods grade of five stations from 1470 to 2008, Yulin and Yan'an have the trend which is from drought to normal. Baoji and Xi'an has significant alternating of droughts and floods and the trend which is from drought to floods. The trend of Hanzhong and Ankang is mainly floods. The change points of drought and floods came out in southern, northern Shaanxi and Guanzhong in about 1640s. The change of southern Shaanxi is from drought to normal in about 1640. The change of Baoji and Xi'an is from drought to floods in about 1648. The change of Hanzhong and Ankang is from normal to floods. The time sequences of 539 years' drought and flood in 5 Shaanxi stations are decomposed by EOX. The first three EOF modes make a contribution accounting for 91% of the total variance. The first EOF makes a contribution accounting for 60.3%. The concordant form takes the leading position of all these years. The second EOF contributes 19.8%, it is the opposite type of drought and flood between south and north. The third EOF contributes 10.9%.