Agricultural drought risk assessment in Shaanxi province using principal component analysis and AHP
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2017.01.33
Key Words: agricultural drought  risk assessment  principal component analysis  analytic hierarchy process(AHP)  Shaanxi province
Author NameAffiliation
HE Bin Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering, State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710048, China 
WANG Quan-jiu Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering, State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710048, China 
WU Di China Irrigation and Drainage Development Center, Beijing 100044, China 
SU Li-jun Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering, State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710048, China 
SHAN Yu-yang Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering, State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710048, China 
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Abstract:
      Agricultural drought disaster mechanism is complex, and its evaluation index is numerous. With the aim of developing reasonable evaluation index and evaluation of drought risk, this study took Shaanxi province as the research object, based on principal component analysis and AHP with the combination of agricultural drought risk assessment index system and evaluation method. The results showed that under the condition of considering regional drought resistance ability, drought risk showed a decreasing trend from north to south and from east to west of Shaanxi. For Yulin region of northern and eastern Weinan, Shangluo prefecture, agricultural drought risk is higher. By combining principal component analysis and AHP evaluation system, we can select evaluation index, reduce index number, and accurately assess the drought risk.