Applicability analysis of four drought indices for meteorological drought monitoring in Northern China
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DOI:10.7606/j.issn.1000-7601.2019.01.36
Key Words: drought indexes  drought monitoning  SPEI index  applicability analysis  Northern China
Author NameAffiliation
RONG Jin-meng Meteorological Service Center of Qinghai, Xining, Qinghai 810001, China 
ZHOU Dan Meteorological Service Center of Qinghai, Xining, Qinghai 810001, China 
LUO Jing Qinghai Engineering Consulting Center, Xining, Qinghai 810001, China 
ZHU Hai-ling Qinghai Engineering Consulting Center, Xining, Qinghai 810001, China 
GUO Guang Meteorological Service Center of Qinghai, Xining, Qinghai 810001, China 
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Abstract:
      We used meteorological data from representative stations selected from 69 meteorological stations in Northern China to study meteorological drought in a timeframe of 1, 3, and 12 months using CI、SPEI、SPI and Z indexes. The consistency of the existing drought and calculated indexes were also compared. The results showed that: (1) The drought frequency calculated using the CI was 7%~14% higher than the actual events while the Z in certain areas for different seasons were 6%~12% lower and SPI for seasonal scale was 6% lower; (2) The best correlation between the four drought indices and actual statistics was SPEI, which expressed 57.41%, 60.78%, 57.06%, and 66.99% of all 4 indexes. The least correlations were with Z, which described 40.85%, 34.94%, 41.56%, and 38.24% of the 4 indexes in the four regions. Therefore, SPEI was most suitable for drought monitoring, mutation detection, drought intensity, levels of spatial and temporal distribution in Northern China.